3,882
edits
Line 19: | Line 19: | ||
Between 6.0% - 6.1%: 2-3% rally | Between 6.0% - 6.1%: 2-3% rally | ||
In line with expectations: flat reaction | In line with expectations (6.2% - 6.3%): flat reaction | ||
Between 6. | Between 6.4% - 6.5%: 2 -3% drop | ||
if >6.5%: ≥ 5% drop | if >6.5%: ≥ 5% drop | ||
Line 80: | Line 80: | ||
|0.61 | |0.61 | ||
|0.46 | |0.46 | ||
|} | |||
=== JPM Forecast <ref>https://twitter.com/rhemrajani9/status/1625252382526304285/photo/1</ref> === | |||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
|'''January CPI''' | |||
|'''Probability''' | |||
|'''S&P Reaction''' | |||
|- | |||
|Above 5% | |||
|5% | |||
|Down 2.5% to 3% | |||
|- | |||
|6.4% to 6.5% | |||
|25% | |||
|Down 0.75% to 1.5% | |||
|- | |||
|6.0% to 6.3% | |||
|65% | |||
|Up 1.5% to 2% | |||
|- | |||
|Below 6% | |||
|5% | |||
|Up 2.5% to 3% | |||
|} | |} | ||