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== Prices == | == Prices == | ||
'''Used Car Index'''[[File:Screenshot 2023-11-13 102603.png|alt=|center|thumb|835x835px|https:// | By applying statistical analysis to its database of more than 5 million used vehicle transactions annually, Manheim has developed a measurement of used vehicle prices that is independent of underlying shifts in the characteristics of vehicles being sold. | ||
[[File:Screenshot | |||
Methodology: https://site.manheim.com/en/services/consulting/used-vehicle-value-index.html | |||
'''Used Car Index'''[[File:Screenshot 2023-11-13 102603.png|alt=|center|thumb|835x835px|https://site.manheim.com/en/services/consulting/used-vehicle-value-index.html]]'''New Car Avg Prices''' | |||
[[File:Screenshot 2024-01-09 172602.png|alt=|center|thumb|845x845px|https://www.coxautoinc.com/market-insights/kbb-atp-november-2023/]] | |||
{| class="wikitable" | {| class="wikitable" | ||
! rowspan="2" |Date | ! rowspan="2" |Date | ||
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!Index % MoM | !Index % MoM | ||
!Index % YoY | !Index % YoY | ||
|- | |||
|Dec-23 | |||
|204.0 | |||
|18,657 | |||
| -0.5% | |||
| -7.0% | |||
|- | |- | ||
|Nov-23 | |Nov-23 | ||
| Line 794: | Line 804: | ||
* The average daily sales conversion rate was steady at 52.3%, which indicates that demand was stable and relatively strong for the time of year. For comparison, the daily sales conversion rate averaged 50.8% in November 2019. | * The average daily sales conversion rate was steady at 52.3%, which indicates that demand was stable and relatively strong for the time of year. For comparison, the daily sales conversion rate averaged 50.8% in November 2019. | ||
==== New ==== | |||
* The U.S. new-vehicle average transaction price in November 2023 was $48,247, an increase of less than 1% month over month and down year over year by 1.5%<ref>https://www.coxautoinc.com/market-insights/kbb-atp-november-2023/</ref> | |||
* In addition, new-vehicle sales incentives climbed further in November 2023 after retreating slightly in October, surpassing 5% of the average transaction price (ATP) for the first time since September 2021. New-vehicle sales incentives were up 136% year over year in November, indicating the new-vehicle market is shifting to a buyer’s market, not a seller’s market. | |||
* The average price lost ground on the average manufacturer’s suggested retail price (MSRP), declining to 98.3% in November, the lowest level since April 2021. The average price decreased 1.5% from a year ago, while the average MSRP increased nearly 1% from a year ago. In the past decade, new-vehicle MSRPs have never decreased year over year. | |||
=== December 2023 === | |||
==== Used ==== | |||
* Following a downward trend that began in the second half of the year, 2023 ended with the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index down 0.5% in December from November. <ref>https://www.coxautoinc.com/news/december-2023-muvvi/</ref> | |||
* The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index (MUVVI) dropped to 204.0, down 7.0% from the previous year, a larger decline than originally expected. | |||
* Compared to the index peak in December 2021, used-vehicle values are down nearly 21%. | |||
* Over the month of December, daily MMR Retention, which is the average difference in price relative to the current MMR, averaged 99.0%, meaning market prices were just below MMR values. The average daily sales conversion rate increased to 53.8%, which indicates demand was improving and relatively strong for the time of year. | |||
* The average retail listing price for a used vehicle declined 0.4% over the last four weeks. Year over year, retail used-vehicle listing prices in late December were down 4.3%. | |||
== Inventory == | == Inventory == | ||