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===7. Car Prices=== | ===7. Car Prices=== | ||
Past Developments: [[Automotive Industry:United States#Prices|Automotive Industry:United States]] | Past Developments: [[Automotive Industry:United States#Prices|Automotive Industry:United States]] | ||
=== January 2024 === | |||
==== Used ==== | ==== Used ==== | ||
* | * Wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix, mileage, and seasonally adjusted basis) were unchanged in January compared to December. The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index (MUVVI) remained at 204.0 but down 9.2% from a year ago. The index experienced the same 0.0% monthly change from December 2021 to January 2022.<ref>https://www.coxautoinc.com/market-insights/january-2024-muvvi/</ref> | ||
* Over the month of January, daily MMR Retention, which is the average difference in price relative to the current MMR, averaged 99.6%, meaning market prices were just below MMR values but moved higher than year-end. | |||
* The average daily sales conversion rate increased to 56.0%, which indicates that demand was improving relative to year-end and fairly normal for this time of year. For comparison, the daily sales conversion rate averaged 55.5% in January during the last three years. | |||
* Over the month of | |||
* The average | ==== New ==== | ||
* The average transaction price of a new vehicle in January declined 2.6% from December to an initial estimate of $47,401, according to Kelley Blue Book data. This was the lowest average price since May 2022.<ref>https://www.coxautoinc.com/market-insights/auto-market-weekly-summary-02-12-2024/</ref> | |||
* The average price relative to the average MSRP moved up slightly to 97.1%, from what had been the lowest level since March 2021. The average price was down 3.5% from a year ago. The average MSRP declined 2.6% in January from December and was down 1.6% from last year. | |||
* The average incentive spend from manufacturers increased 0.7% to $2,703, which was up 93% year over year. Meanwhile, incentives as a percentage of the average transaction price increased to 5.7%, the highest level since July 2021. | |||
{| class="wikitable" | {| class="wikitable" | ||
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|- | |- | ||
!Index (1/97 = 100) | !Index (1/97 = 100) | ||
!Manheim Index $ amount SA | ! Manheim Index $ amount SA | ||
!Index % MoM | !Index % MoM | ||
!Index % YoY | !Index % YoY | ||
|- | |||
|Jan-24 | |||
|204.0 | |||
|18,664 | |||
|0.0% | |||
| -9.2% | |||
|- | |- | ||
|Dec-23 | |Dec-23 | ||
|204.0 | |204.0 | ||
|18,657 | | 18,657 | ||
| -0.5% | | -0.5% | ||
| -7.0% | | -7.0% | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Nov-23 | |Nov-23 | ||
|205.0 | |205.0 | ||
|18,752 | |18,752 | ||
| -2.1% | | -2.1% | ||
| -5.8% | | -5.8% | ||
|} | |} | ||
== CPI During Recession == | == CPI During Recession == |