Consumer Price Index: Difference between revisions

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===7. Car Prices===
===7. Car Prices===
Past Developments: [[Automotive Industry:United States#Prices|Automotive Industry:United States]]
Past Developments: [[Automotive Industry:United States#Prices|Automotive Industry:United States]]
=== January 2024 ===


==== Used ====
==== Used ====


* Following a downward trend that began in the second half of the year, 2023 ended with the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index down 0.5% in December from November. <ref>https://www.coxautoinc.com/news/december-2023-muvvi/</ref>
* Wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix, mileage, and seasonally adjusted basis) were unchanged in January compared to December. The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index (MUVVI) remained at 204.0 but down 9.2% from a year ago. The index experienced the same 0.0% monthly change from December 2021 to January 2022.<ref>https://www.coxautoinc.com/market-insights/january-2024-muvvi/</ref>
* The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index (MUVVI) dropped to 204.0, down 7.0% from the previous year, a larger decline than originally expected.
* Over the month of January, daily MMR Retention, which is the average difference in price relative to the current MMR, averaged 99.6%, meaning market prices were just below MMR values but moved higher than year-end.
* Compared to the index peak in December 2021, used-vehicle values are down nearly 21%.
* The average daily sales conversion rate increased to 56.0%, which indicates that demand was improving relative to year-end and fairly normal for this time of year. For comparison, the daily sales conversion rate averaged 55.5% in January during the last three years.
* Over the month of December, daily MMR Retention, which is the average difference in price relative to the current MMR, averaged 99.0%, meaning market prices were just below MMR values. The average daily sales conversion rate increased to 53.8%, which indicates demand was improving and relatively strong for the time of year.
 
* The average retail listing price for a used vehicle declined 0.4% over the last four weeks. Year over year, retail used-vehicle listing prices in late December were down 4.3%.
==== New ====
 
* The average transaction price of a new vehicle in January declined 2.6% from December to an initial estimate of $47,401, according to Kelley Blue Book data. This was the lowest average price since May 2022.<ref>https://www.coxautoinc.com/market-insights/auto-market-weekly-summary-02-12-2024/</ref>
* The average price relative to the average MSRP moved up slightly to 97.1%, from what had been the lowest level since March 2021. The average price was down 3.5% from a year ago. The average MSRP declined 2.6% in January from December and was down 1.6% from last year.
* The average incentive spend from manufacturers increased 0.7% to $2,703, which was up 93% year over year. Meanwhile, incentives as a percentage of the average transaction price increased to 5.7%, the highest level since July 2021.


{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
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|-
|-
!Index (1/97 = 100)
!Index (1/97 = 100)
!Manheim Index $ amount SA
! Manheim Index $ amount SA
!Index % MoM
!Index % MoM
!Index % YoY
!Index % YoY
|-
|Jan-24
|204.0
|18,664
|0.0%
| -9.2%
|-
|-
|Dec-23
|Dec-23
|204.0
|204.0
|18,657
| 18,657
| -0.5%
| -0.5%
| -7.0%
| -7.0%
|-
|-
| Nov-23
|Nov-23
|205.0
|205.0
|18,752
|18,752
| -2.1%
| -2.1%
| -5.8%
| -5.8%
|-
|Oct-23
|209.4
| 19,157
|  -2.3%
| -4.0%
|}
|}
== CPI During Recession ==
== CPI During Recession ==