3,882
edits
No edit summary |
No edit summary |
||
Line 550: | Line 550: | ||
!Release Date<ref>https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES0500000003</ref> | !Release Date<ref>https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES0500000003</ref> | ||
!Level | !Level | ||
! M/M | !M/M | ||
!Y/Y | !Y/Y | ||
!M/M Forecast | !M/M Forecast | ||
!Y/Y Forecast | !Y/Y Forecast | ||
|- | |||
|2024-10-01 | |||
|35.46 | |||
|0.37 | |||
|3.99 | |||
|0.3% | |||
|4% | |||
|- | |- | ||
|2024-09-01 | |2024-09-01 | ||
|35. | |35.33 | ||
|0. | |0.31 | ||
|3. | |3.88 | ||
|0.3% | |0.3% | ||
|3.8% | |3.8% | ||
|- | |- | ||
|2024-08-01 | |2024-08-01 | ||
|35. | |35.22 | ||
|0. | |0.43 | ||
|3. | |3.86 | ||
|0.3% | |0.3% | ||
|3.8% | |3.8% | ||
Line 571: | Line 578: | ||
|2024-07-01 | |2024-07-01 | ||
|35.07 | |35.07 | ||
|0.23 | |0.23 | ||
|3.63 | |3.63 | ||
|0.3% | |0.3% | ||
Line 577: | Line 584: | ||
|- | |- | ||
|2024-06-01 | |2024-06-01 | ||
| 34.99 | |34.99 | ||
|0.32 | |0.32 | ||
|3.83 | |3.83 | ||
Line 588: | Line 595: | ||
!Month<ref>https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/policy/gscpi#/interactive</ref> | !Month<ref>https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/policy/gscpi#/interactive</ref> | ||
!Index | !Index | ||
|- | |||
|31-Oct-2024 | |||
| -0.32 | |||
|- | |- | ||
|30-Sep-2024 | |30-Sep-2024 | ||
|0. | |0.11 | ||
|- | |- | ||
|31-Aug-2024 | |31-Aug-2024 | ||
|0. | |0.22 | ||
|- | |- | ||
|31-Jul-2024 | |31-Jul-2024 | ||
Line 604: | Line 614: | ||
Past Developments: [[Producer Price Index]] | Past Developments: [[Producer Price Index]] | ||
{| class="wikitable" | {| class="wikitable" | ||
! | ! rowspan="2" |Date<ref>https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1UzvIAz6CBS78vH1moNA-foaZA0HWOb-AG1DfvCUJDio/edit?gid=1447472164#gid=1447472164&range=EB1</ref> | ||
! colspan="3" |PPI | |||
! | |||
|- | |- | ||
|2024 | !Index | ||
| | !M/M | ||
|1. | !Y/Y | ||
| | |- | ||
| | |2024-09-01 | ||
|0. | |145.17 | ||
| | |0.05 | ||
|1.76 | |||
|- | |||
|2024-08-01 | |||
|145.10 | |||
|0.23 | |||
|1.93 | |||
|- | |- | ||
|2024 | |2024-07-01 | ||
| | |144.76 | ||
|0.03 | |||
|2.33 | |||
|0. | |||
| | |||
|- | |- | ||
|2024 | |2024-06-01 | ||
| | |144.72 | ||
| | |0.32 | ||
|2. | |2.88 | ||
|- | |- | ||
|2024 | |2024-05-01 | ||
| | |144.26 | ||
| | |0.00 | ||
|2. | |2.55 | ||
|} | |} | ||
===4. Housing Market=== | ===4. Housing Market=== | ||
Past Developments: [[Housing Market: US#Price Developments|Housing Market: US]] | Past Developments: [[Housing Market: US#Price Developments|Housing Market: US]] | ||
Line 659: | Line 662: | ||
!Y/Y | !Y/Y | ||
|- | |- | ||
|2024-07-01 | |2024-08-01 | ||
|325. | |325.03 | ||
|0. | | -0.13 | ||
|4. | |4.25 | ||
|- | |||
| 2024-07-01 | |||
|325.46 | |||
|0.01 | |||
|4.85 | |||
|- | |- | ||
|2024-06-01 | |2024-06-01 | ||
|325.44 | |325.44 | ||
| 0.49 | |0.49 | ||
|5. | |5.49 | ||
|- | |- | ||
|2024-05-01 | |2024-05-01 | ||
|323.86 | |323.86 | ||
|0.93 | |0.93 | ||
| | |5.99 | ||
|} | |} | ||
==== Rents ==== | ==== Rents ==== | ||
{| class="wikitable" | {| class="wikitable" | ||
! rowspan="2" |Date<ref name=": | ! rowspan="2" |Date<ref name=":02">https://www.apartmentlist.com/research/national-rent-data?utm_source=twitter.com</ref> | ||
! colspan="3" |Overall | ! colspan="3" |Overall | ||
! colspan="3" |1 Bedroom | ! colspan="3" |1 Bedroom | ||
Line 710: | Line 698: | ||
!M/M | !M/M | ||
!Y/Y | !Y/Y | ||
|- | |||
|10/1/2024 | |||
|1,394 | |||
| -0.71 | |||
| -0.71 | |||
|1225 | |||
| -0.73 | |||
| -0.73 | |||
|1380 | |||
| -0.72 | |||
| -0.72 | |||
|- | |- | ||
|9/1/2024 | |9/1/2024 | ||
| | |1,404 | ||
| -0. | | -0.57 | ||
| -0. | | -0.78 | ||
|1234 | |1234 | ||
| -0.48 | | -0.48 | ||
Line 723: | Line 722: | ||
|- | |- | ||
|8/1/2024 | |8/1/2024 | ||
| | |1,412 | ||
| -0. | | -0.07 | ||
| -0.77 | | -0.77 | ||
|1240 | |1240 | ||
Line 734: | Line 733: | ||
|- | |- | ||
|7/1/2024 | |7/1/2024 | ||
| | |1,413 | ||
|0. | |0.21 | ||
| -0. | | -0.84 | ||
|1242 | |1242 | ||
|0.24 | |0.24 | ||
Line 745: | Line 744: | ||
|- | |- | ||
|6/1/2024 | |6/1/2024 | ||
| | |1,410 | ||
|0. | |0.43 | ||
| -0.77 | | -0.77 | ||
|1239 | |1239 | ||
Line 760: | Line 759: | ||
CPI food at home prices are highly directionally correlated to on a 6-month lagged basis. | CPI food at home prices are highly directionally correlated to on a 6-month lagged basis. | ||
{| class="wikitable" | {| class="wikitable" | ||
!Date<ref name=": | !Date<ref name=":05">https://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/foodpricesindex/en/</ref> | ||
! colspan="3" |Food Price Index | ! colspan="3" |Food Price Index | ||
!Meat | !Meat | ||
Line 770: | Line 769: | ||
! | ! | ||
!Index | !Index | ||
! M/M | !M/M | ||
!Y/Y | !Y/Y | ||
!Index | !Index | ||
Line 777: | Line 776: | ||
!Index | !Index | ||
!Index | !Index | ||
|- | |||
|2024-10 | |||
|127.40 | |||
|2.00 | |||
|5.55 | |||
|120.4 | |||
|139.1 | |||
|114.4 | |||
|152.7 | |||
|129.6 | |||
|- | |- | ||
|2024-09 | |2024-09 | ||
|124. | |124.90 | ||
| | |2.63 | ||
|2. | |2.63 | ||
| | |120.8 | ||
|136. | | 136.5 | ||
|113. | |113.6 | ||
|142.4 | |142.4 | ||
| | |126.3 | ||
|- | |- | ||
|2024-08 | |2024-08 | ||
| | |121.70 | ||
| | |0.66 | ||
| - | | -0.08 | ||
| | |122.0 | ||
|131.3 | |131.3 | ||
|110.2 | |110.2 | ||
Line 799: | Line 808: | ||
|- | |- | ||
|2024-07 | |2024-07 | ||
| | |120.90 | ||
| | | -0.08 | ||
| -2. | | -2.81 | ||
|120. | |120.0 | ||
|127.9 | |127.9 | ||
|110.7 | |110.7 | ||
Line 809: | Line 818: | ||
|- | |- | ||
|2024-06 | |2024-06 | ||
|121. | |121.00 | ||
|0. | |0.41 | ||
| -1. | | -1.63 | ||
|118. | |118.1 | ||
|127.9 | |127.9 | ||
|115.2 | |115.2 | ||
|131.8 | |131.8 | ||
|119.4 | |119.4 | ||
|} | |} | ||
===6. Energy=== | ===6. Energy=== | ||
Line 833: | Line 832: | ||
! rowspan="2" |Date | ! rowspan="2" |Date | ||
Average Prices | Average Prices | ||
! colspan="3" |WTI<ref name=": | ! colspan="3" |WTI<ref name=":52">https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DCOILWTICO</ref> | ||
! colspan="3" | US Regular All Formulations Gas Price<ref name=": | ! colspan="3" |US Regular All Formulations Gas Price<ref name=":62">https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GASREGW</ref> | ||
|- | |- | ||
!Dollars per Barrel NSA | !Dollars per Barrel NSA | ||
!M/M | !M/M | ||
!Y/Y | !Y/Y | ||
!Dollars per Gallon NSA | ! Dollars per Gallon NSA | ||
!M/M | !M/M | ||
!Y/Y | !Y/Y | ||
|- | |||
|2024-10-01 | |||
|71.99 | |||
|2.49 | |||
| -15.94 | |||
|3.14 | |||
| -2.40 | |||
| -13.17 | |||
|- | |- | ||
|2024-09-01 | |2024-09-01 | ||
Line 847: | Line 854: | ||
| -8.40 | | -8.40 | ||
| -21.46 | | -21.46 | ||
|3. | |3.21 | ||
| - | | -5.16 | ||
| - | | -16.21 | ||
|- | |- | ||
|2024-08-01 | |2024-08-01 | ||
Line 855: | Line 862: | ||
| -6.26 | | -6.26 | ||
| -5.79 | | -5.79 | ||
|3. | |3.39 | ||
| - | | -2.73 | ||
| - | | -11.74 | ||
|- | |- | ||
|2024-07-01 | |2024-07-01 | ||
|81.80 | |81.80 | ||
|2.54 | | 2.54 | ||
|7.53 | |7.53 | ||
|3.48 | |3.48 | ||
| | |0.84 | ||
| - | | -3.14 | ||
|- | |- | ||
|2024-06-01 | |2024-06-01 | ||
Line 871: | Line 878: | ||
| -0.31 | | -0.31 | ||
|13.55 | |13.55 | ||
|3. | |3.46 | ||
| | | -4.11 | ||
| -3. | | -3.25 | ||
|} | |} | ||
===7. Car Prices=== | ===7. Car Prices=== | ||
Line 888: | Line 887: | ||
! rowspan="2" |Date | ! rowspan="2" |Date | ||
! colspan="4" |Used Car Index | ! colspan="4" |Used Car Index | ||
! colspan="3" |New Car Average Transaction Prices | |||
|- | |- | ||
!Index (1/97 = 100) | !Index (1/97 = 100) | ||
Line 893: | Line 893: | ||
!Index % MoM | !Index % MoM | ||
!Index % YoY | !Index % YoY | ||
! ATP | |||
!M/M | |||
!Y/Y | |||
|- | |||
|Oct-24 | |||
|202.80 | |||
|18,552 | |||
| -0.10 | |||
| -3.15 | |||
|48,398 | |||
|0.2% | |||
|0.4% | |||
|- | |- | ||
|Sep-24 | |Sep-24 | ||
|203. | |203.00 | ||
|18,565 | |18,565 | ||
| -0.44 | | -0.44 | ||
| -5.27 | | -5.27 | ||
|48,397 | |||
|0.8% | |||
| -0.4% | |||
|- | |- | ||
|Aug-24 | |Aug-24 | ||
|203. | |203.90 | ||
|18,654 | |18,654 | ||
|1.14 | |1.14 | ||
| -3.91 | | -3.91 | ||
|47,997 | |||
| -0.35% | |||
| -1.17% | |||
|- | |- | ||
|July-24 | |July-24 | ||
|201. | |201.60 | ||
| 18,441 | |18,441 | ||
|2.80 | |2.80 | ||
| -4.77 | | -4.77 | ||
|48,166 | |||
| -0.5% | |||
| -0.26% | |||
|- | |- | ||
|Jun-24 | |Jun-24 | ||
|196. | |196.10 | ||
|17,934 | | 17,934 | ||
| -0.61 | | -0.61 | ||
| -8.83 | | -8.83 | ||
|48,424<ref>https://www.coxautoinc.com/market-insights/june-2024-atp-report/</ref> | |||
|0.1% | |||
| -1.08% | |||
|} | |} | ||
=== 8. Import Prices === | === 8. Import Prices === | ||
Line 929: | Line 953: | ||
! | ! | ||
! | ! | ||
|- | |||
|2024-09-01 | |||
|140.80 | |||
| -0.42 | |||
| -0.14 | |||
|- | |- | ||
|2024-08-01 | |2024-08-01 | ||
|141.40 | |141.40 | ||
| -0. | | -0.21 | ||
|0.78 | |0.78 | ||
|- | |- | ||
|2024-07-01 | |2024-07-01 | ||
|141. | |141.70 | ||
|0. | |0.07 | ||
|1. | |1.65 | ||
|- | |- | ||
|2024-06-01 | |2024-06-01 | ||
Line 944: | Line 973: | ||
| 0.07 | | 0.07 | ||
|1.58 | |1.58 | ||
|} | |} | ||
=== 9. PMIs Price Index === | === 9. PMIs Price Index === | ||
Line 959: | Line 983: | ||
! PMI Manufacturing<ref>https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/ism-manufacturing-prices-174</ref><ref>https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/ism-manufacturing-prices</ref> | ! PMI Manufacturing<ref>https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/ism-manufacturing-prices-174</ref><ref>https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/ism-manufacturing-prices</ref> | ||
!PMI Services<ref>https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/ism-non-manufacturing-prices-1049</ref><ref>https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/ism-non-manufacturing-prices</ref> | !PMI Services<ref>https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/ism-non-manufacturing-prices-1049</ref><ref>https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/ism-non-manufacturing-prices</ref> | ||
|- | |||
|Oct-24 | |||
|54.8 | |||
|58.1 | |||
|- | |- | ||
|Sep-24 | |Sep-24 |