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Earnings Overview: 2023 Q3: Difference between revisions

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Earnings Overview: 2023 Q3 (view source)

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== Estimates ==
== Estimates ==
Refi
 
=== <big>Refinitiv</big> ===
{| class="wikitable"
!
!21Q2
!21Q3
! colspan="2" |21Q4
!22Q1
!22Q2
! colspan="2" |22Q3
!22Q4
!23Q1
! colspan="2" |23Q2
! colspan="2" |23Q3E
!23Q4E
! colspan="2" |24Q1E
! colspan="2" |24Q2E
!24Q3E
! colspan="2" |24Q4E
!25Q1E
!25Q2E
|-
|Revenue
|25.2%
|17.0%
| colspan="2" |15.1%
|14.0%
|13.6%
| colspan="2" |11.7%
|5.8%
|3.6%
| colspan="2" |0.5%
| colspan="2" |0.9%
|3.6%
| colspan="2" |4.4%
| colspan="2" |5.1%
|5.5%
| colspan="2" |5.1%
|5.8%
|5.8%
|-
|Net Income
|94.8%
|42.1%
| colspan="2" |30.1%
|9.6%
|5.9%
| colspan="2" |2.6%
| -6.1%
| -2.8%
| colspan="2" | -5.4%
| colspan="2" | -1.8%
|8.8%
| colspan="2" |7.7%
| colspan="2" |11.8%
|12.8%
| colspan="2" |12.6%
|11.9%
|11.5%
|-
|Earnings
|96.3%
|42.6%
| colspan="2" |32.1%
|11.4%
|8.4%
| colspan="2" |4.4%
| -3.2%
|0.1%
| colspan="2" | -2.8%
| colspan="2" |1.3%
|10.8%
| colspan="2" |9.1%
| colspan="2" |12.4%
|13.3%
| colspan="2" |13.3%
|14.0%
|14.0%
|}
 
* The 23Q3 Y/Y blended '''earnings''' growth estimate is '''1.3%'''. If the energy sector is excluded, the growth rate for the index is 6.2%.<ref>https://lipperalpha.refinitiv.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/TRPR_82201_20231006.pdf</ref>
* Of the '''20''' companies in the '''S&P 500''' that have reported '''earnings''' as of octubre 6 for 23Q3, '''85.0%''' reported '''above''' analyst expectations. This compares to a long-term average of 66%.
* The 23Q3 Y/Y blended '''revenue''' growth estimate is '''0.9%'''. If the energy sector is excluded, the growth rate for the index is 3.3%.
 
'''2023Q3 Blended (Reported & Estimated) Earnings Growth'''   
{| class="wikitable"
!
! colspan="6" |'''Earnings Growth'''   
! colspan="6" |Current/Future Share-Weighted Earnings ($B's )
|-
!Sector
!6 Oct
!1 Oct
!1 Jul
!1 Apr
!1 Jan
!1 Oct
!2023Q3
!2023Q4
!2024Q1
!2024Q2
!2023
!2024
|-
|Consumer Discretionary
|23.1%
|23.0%
|13.4%
|13.2%
|20.7%
|27.1%
|'''40.54'''
|36.05
|34.38
|44.01
|147.2
|169.2
|-
|Consumer Staples
|1.2%
|1.3%
|5.5%
|8.9%
|7.2%
|9.4%
|'''29.74'''
|29.79
|30.85
|32.98
|118.4
|130.7
|-
|Energy
| -34.7%
| -35.0%
| -38.1%
| -29.0%
| -23.8%
| -16.8%
|'''36.23'''
|35.96
|35.04
|36.85
|143.0
|146.7
|-
|Financials
|11.3%
|11.9%
|14.5%
|17.0%
|21.4%
|15.3%
|'''80.73'''
|82.65
|88.40
|87.60
|330.5
|357.7
|-
|Health Care
| -10.0%
| -9.7%
| -6.5%
| -5.2%
| -2.3%
|5.8%
|'''66.73'''
|69.21
|71.47
|72.18
|261.5
|294.9
|-
|Industrials
|5.3%
|8.6%
|15.1%
|14.5%
|15.7%
|12.9%
|'''37.82'''
|39.88
|38.30
|46.43
|156.3
|177.9
|-
|Materials
| -20.5%
| -20.5%
| -8.7%
| -2.2%
| -1.8%
| -2.4%
|'''11.15'''
|11.24
|12.37
|14.73
|49.6
|52.2
|-
|Real Estate
| -7.3%
| -7.1%
| -5.9%
| -8.3%
| -3.2%
|4.3%
|'''11.14'''
|11.68
|11.46
|11.98
|45.7
|48.3
|-
|Technology
|6.0%
|5.9%
|1.3%
|1.2%
|5.1%
|14.7%
|'''89.00'''
|104.71
|97.55
|98.59
|362.2
|425.4
|-
|Communication Services
|33.8%
|34.0%
|28.1%
|23.4%
|20.1%
|16.8%
|'''44.27'''
|48.87
|45.96
|50.45
|171.6
|202.8
|-
|Utilities
|12.5%
|12.4%
|13.5%
|10.5%
|10.0%
|6.2%
|'''17.27'''
|13.69
|14.75
|12.92
|54.5
|58.2
|-
|'''S&P 500'''
|'''1.3%'''
|'''1.6%'''
|'''1.3%'''
|'''2.8%'''
|'''5.5%'''
|'''9.5%'''
|'''464.61'''
|'''483.73'''
|'''480.54'''
|'''508.72'''
|'''1,840.5'''
|'''2,063.8'''
|}
'''2023Q3 Blended (Reported & Estimated) Revenue Growth'''
{| class="wikitable"
!
! colspan="6" |'''Revenue Growth'''
! colspan="7" |Current/Future Revenue ($B'S )
|-
!'''Sector'''
!Oct 6
!'''1 Oct'''
!'''1 Jul'''
!'''1 Apr'''
!'''1 Jan'''
!'''1 Oct'''
!2023Q3
!2023Q4
!2024Q1
!2024Q2
! colspan="2" |2023
!2024
|-
|Consumer Discretionary
|6.3%
|6.4%
|4.7%
|4.3%
|5.3%
|9.4%
|'''474.2'''
|499.7
|464.6
|503.9
| colspan="2" |1,769.1
|2,016.7
|-
|Consumer Staples
|3.7%
|3.9%
|4.1%
|4.3%
|4.1%
|4.1%
|'''462.4'''
|469.2
|450.7
|456.4
| colspan="2" |1,700.3
|1,872.2
|-
|Energy
| -18.8%
| -19.6%
| -19.9%
| -18.0%
| -15.7%
| -6.7%
|'''333.9'''
|338.3
|328.5
|333.9
| colspan="2" |1,222.4
|1,295.7
|-
|Financials
|2.3%
|2.4%
|2.1%
|4.4%
|1.9%
|6.8%
|'''455.6'''
|455.4
|466.7
|471.2
| colspan="2" |1,711.4
|1,900.3
|-
|Health Care
|5.0%
|5.1%
|4.4%
|3.6%
|3.3%
|4.3%
|'''742.6'''
|763.4
|767.1
|785.0
| colspan="2" |2,816.0
|3,149.9
|-
|Industrials
|1.6%
|1.8%
|2.5%
|2.5%
|3.3%
|4.7%
|'''385.3'''
|394.9
|384.8
|392.4
| colspan="2" |1,447.6
|1,627.3
|-
|Materials
| -9.6%
| -9.9%
| -2.7%
|0.0%
| -1.8%
| -0.3%
|'''113.9'''
|113.3
|116.8
|123.5
| colspan="2" |437.5
|454.1
|-
|Real Estate
|6.6%
|6.9%
|6.4%
|6.8%
|6.0%
|7.6%
|'''37.3'''
|38.8
|38.5
|39.3
| colspan="2" |140.7
|158.8
|-
|Technology
|1.5%
|1.4%
|1.2%
|2.0%
|4.4%
|8.3%
|'''370.6'''
|417.4
|394.3
|395.8
| colspan="2" |1,423.0
|1,663.3
|-
|Communication Services
|5.2%
|5.2%
|4.4%
|4.5%
|4.8%
|6.9%
|'''271.1'''
|293.7
|275.4
|283.9
| colspan="2" |1,027.7
|1,161.9
|-
|Utilities
|3.7%
|3.6%
|1.5%
| -2.3%
| -6.0%
| -1.5%
|'''114.2'''
|103.8
|93.3
|75.7
| colspan="2" |404.0
|437.8
|-
|'''S&P 500'''
|'''0.9%'''
|'''0.8%'''
|'''0.6%'''
|'''1.0%'''
|'''1.2%'''
|'''4.4%'''
|'''3,761.0'''
|'''3,887.8'''
|'''3,780.6'''
|'''3,861.0'''
| colspan="2" |'''14,099.6'''
|'''15,738.0'''
|}
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