Automotive Industry: Current State of EV Sales: Difference between revisions

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== EV Outlook ==
== EV Outlook ==


=== International Energy Agency ===
=== Gartner (September, 2023) ===
 
* Gartner forecasts that EV sales will grow by '''34% year-over-year to 15.4 million vehicles in 2023''' and by '''20% year-over-year to 18.5 million vehicles in 2024'''<ref>https://www.gartner.com/en/newsroom/press-releases/2023-09-07-gartner-forecasts-15-million-electric-cars-will-be-shipped-in-2023</ref>.
* Proportion of EV models to total vehicles will be more than 50% by 2030, according to Gartner.
 
=== International Energy Agency (April, 2023) ===
According to International Energy Agency(IEA), the electric car market is seeing exponential growth<ref name=":1">https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/dacf14d2-eabc-498a-8263-9f97fd5dc327/GEVO2023.pdf</ref>. Here is a summary of its Global EV Outlook 2023 publication.
According to International Energy Agency(IEA), the electric car market is seeing exponential growth<ref name=":1">https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/dacf14d2-eabc-498a-8263-9f97fd5dc327/GEVO2023.pdf</ref>. Here is a summary of its Global EV Outlook 2023 publication.


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==== EV Sales Outlook ====
==== EV Sales Outlook ====


* Electric car sales is expected to grow by 35% year over year in 2023 to 14 million vehicles.
* Electric car sales is expected to '''grow by 35% year over year in 2023 to 14 million vehicles.'''
* In Q1 of 2023, more than 2.3 million electric cars were sold, representing a growth rate of 25% year over year.
* In Q1 of 2023, more than 2.3 million electric cars were sold, representing a growth rate of 25% year over year.
* Therefore, electric car sales is expected to account for 18% of total car sales in 2023.
* Therefore, electric car sales is expected to account for 18% of total car sales in 2023.
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* Europe electric car sales grew by around 10% year over year in Q1 of 2023. IEA expects Europe electric car sales to increase by 25% year over year in 2023.
* Europe electric car sales grew by around 10% year over year in Q1 of 2023. IEA expects Europe electric car sales to increase by 25% year over year in 2023.


* Based on IEA Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS), the initial global share of electric vehicles was projected to be less than 25% in 2030. But the outlook has now been raised to 35% in 2030.
* Based on IEA Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS), the initial global share of electric vehicles was projected to be less than 25% in 2030. But the outlook has now been raised to '''35% in 2030.'''


=== Goldman Sachs ===
=== Goldman Sachs (February, 2023) ===
According to Goldman Sachs report, EV sales will account for half of new car sales worldwide by 2035 as the world accelerates its push for net-zero carbon emissions<ref name=":0">https://www.goldmansachs.com/intelligence/pages/electric-vehicles-are-forecast-to-be-half-of-global-car-sales-by-2035.html</ref>.  
According to Goldman Sachs report, '''EV sales will account for half of new car sales worldwide by 2035''' as the world accelerates its push for net-zero carbon emissions<ref name=":0">https://www.goldmansachs.com/intelligence/pages/electric-vehicles-are-forecast-to-be-half-of-global-car-sales-by-2035.html</ref>.  


==== EV Sales Outlook ====
==== EV Sales Outlook ====